Exchangeable mortality projection

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<dc:creator>Shapovalov, Vered</dc:creator>
<dc:creator>Landsman, Zinoviy</dc:creator>
<dc:creator>Makov, Udi E.</dc:creator>
<dc:date>2021-06-07</dc:date>
<dc:description xml:lang="es">Sumario: In this study we derive a novel multi-population Lee-Carter type model. Specifically, we extend the Bayesian model in Czado et al. (Insur Math Econ 36:260284, 2005) to allow exchangeability between parameters of a group of m populations. In a validation-based examination, the proposed model is found to be beneficial for several examined countries. Also, we examine changes in forecasting ability due to varying calibration periods. Our results suggest that mortality rates from a distant past are inferior to those from a more recent past.

</dc:description>
<dc:identifier>https://documentacion.fundacionmapfre.org/documentacion/publico/es/bib/178925.do</dc:identifier>
<dc:language>spa</dc:language>
<dc:rights xml:lang="es">InC - http://rightsstatements.org/vocab/InC/1.0/</dc:rights>
<dc:subject xml:lang="es">Mortalidad</dc:subject>
<dc:subject xml:lang="es">Proyecciones demográficas</dc:subject>
<dc:subject xml:lang="es">Modelos de simulación</dc:subject>
<dc:subject xml:lang="es">Cálculo actuarial</dc:subject>
<dc:type xml:lang="es">Artículos y capítulos</dc:type>
<dc:title xml:lang="es">Exchangeable mortality projection</dc:title>
<dc:relation xml:lang="es">En: European Actuarial Journal. - Cham, Switzerland  : Springer Nature Switzerland AG,  2021-2022. - 07/06/2021 Número 1 - junio 2021 , 113-133</dc:relation>
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