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Challenges with non-informative gamma priors in the Bayesian over-dispersed Poisson reserving model

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100  ‎$0‎MAPA20100046395‎$a‎Wüthrich, Mario V.
24510‎$a‎Challenges with non-informative gamma priors in the Bayesian over-dispersed Poisson reserving model‎$c‎Mario V. Wüthrich
520  ‎$a‎Tables 2 and 3 in England et al. (2012) raise the conjecture that the claims reserves in the Bayesian over-dispersed Poisson (BODP) model with non-informative gamma priors are equal to the claims reserves in the chain-ladder (CL) model (the small differences in the figures could be explained by simulation inaccuracy). We give a counter-example to this conjecture. Moreover, we show that, working with non-informative priors needs a lot of care because a naïve treatment may lead to improper posterior distributions.
7730 ‎$w‎MAP20077100574‎$t‎Insurance : mathematics and economics‎$d‎Oxford : Elsevier, 1990-‎$x‎0167-6687‎$g‎04/03/2013 Volumen 52 Número 2 - marzo 2013
856  ‎$y‎MÁS INFORMACIÓN‎$u‎mailto:centrodocumentacion@fundacionmapfre.org?subject=Consulta%20de%20una%20publicaci%C3%B3n%20&body=Necesito%20m%C3%A1s%20informaci%C3%B3n%20sobre%20este%20documento%3A%20%0A%0A%5Banote%20aqu%C3%AD%20el%20titulo%20completo%20del%20documento%20del%20que%20desea%20informaci%C3%B3n%20y%20nos%20pondremos%20en%20contacto%20con%20usted%5D%20%0A%0AGracias%20%0A