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Evaluating life expectancy evaluations

Recurso electrónico / electronic resource
Registro MARC
Tag12Valor
LDR  00000cab a2200000 4500
001  MAP20180025716
003  MAP
005  20180830121931.0
008  180808e20180601usa|||p |0|||b|eng d
040  ‎$a‎MAP‎$b‎spa‎$d‎MAP
084  ‎$a‎6
24510‎$a‎Evaluating life expectancy evaluations‎$c‎Daniel Bauer...[et al.]
520  ‎$a‎The quality of life expectancy estimates is one key consideration for an investor in life settlements. The predominant metric for assessing this quality is the so-called A-to-E ratio, which relies on a comparison of the actual to the predicted number of deaths. In this article, we explain key issues with this metric: In the short run, it is subject to estimation uncertainty for small and moderately sized portfolios; and, more critically, in the long run, it converges to 100% even if the underwriting is systematically biased. As an alternative, we propose and discuss a set of new metrics based on the difference in (temporary) life expectancies. We examine the underwriting quality of a leading U.S. life expectancy provider based on this new methodology
650 4‎$0‎MAPA20080580377‎$a‎Esperanza de vida
650 4‎$0‎MAPA20080579258‎$a‎Cálculo actuarial
651 1‎$0‎MAPA20080638337‎$a‎Estados Unidos
7730 ‎$w‎MAP20077000239‎$t‎North American actuarial journal‎$d‎Schaumburg : Society of Actuaries, 1997-‎$x‎1092-0277‎$g‎04/06/2018 Tomo 22 Número 2 - 2018 , p. 198-209