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How many people will live and die with serious illness in Ireland to 2040? Estimated needs and costs using microsimulation

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24510‎$a‎How many people will live and die with serious illness in Ireland to 2040? Estimated needs and costs using microsimulation‎$c‎Peter May [et al.]
520  ‎$a‎As populations age, more people worldwide will live and die with serious illness like cancer, heart disease and dementia. Prior projections of serious illness prevalence and end-of-life care needs have typically used static population-level methods. We estimated future disease prevalence and healthcare costs by applying dynamic microsimulation models to high-quality individual-level panel data on older adults (aged 50 + ) in Ireland. We estimated that the number of people living and dying with serious illness will increase approximately 70 % over 20 years. Per-capita annual costs both at end of life and not at end of life increase substantially due to ageing populations and growing complexity
650 4‎$0‎MAPA20080539771‎$a‎Salud
650 4‎$0‎MAPA20080562236‎$a‎Enfermedades
650 4‎$0‎MAPA20080555306‎$a‎Mortalidad
650 4‎$0‎MAPA20120020009‎$a‎Sistema Nacional de Salud
651 1‎$0‎MAPA20080637927‎$a‎Irlanda
7001 ‎$0‎MAPA20240021429‎$a‎May, Peter
7730 ‎$w‎MAP20210010194‎$g‎15/10/2024 Volumen 29 - 2024 , p. 8‎$t‎The Journal of the economics of ageing ‎$d‎Oxford : Elsevier ScienceDirect, 2021-
856  ‎$u‎https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jeoa.2024.100528