How many people will live and die with serious illness in Ireland to 2040? Estimated needs and costs using microsimulation

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<title>How many people will live and die with serious illness in Ireland to 2040? Estimated needs and costs using microsimulation</title>
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<namePart>May, Peter </namePart>
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<dateIssued encoding="marc">2024</dateIssued>
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<abstract displayLabel="Summary">As populations age, more people worldwide will live and die with serious illness like cancer, heart disease and dementia. Prior projections of serious illness prevalence and end-of-life care needs have typically used static population-level methods. We estimated future disease prevalence and healthcare costs by applying dynamic microsimulation models to high-quality individual-level panel data on older adults (aged 50 + ) in Ireland. We estimated that the number of people living and dying with serious illness will increase approximately 70 % over 20 years. Per-capita annual costs both at end of life and not at end of life increase substantially due to ageing populations and growing complexity</abstract>
<note type="statement of responsibility">Peter May [et al.]</note>
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<topic>Salud</topic>
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<topic>Enfermedades</topic>
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<topic>Sistema Nacional de Salud</topic>
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<subject authority="lcshac" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xlink:href="MAPA20080637927">
<geographic>Irlanda</geographic>
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<url displayLabel="electronic resource" usage="primary display">https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jeoa.2024.100528</url>
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<title>The Journal of the economics of ageing</title>
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<publisher>Oxford : Elsevier ScienceDirect, 2021-</publisher>
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<text>15/10/2024 Volumen 29 - 2024 , p. 8</text>
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