How many people will live and die with serious illness in Ireland to 2040? Estimated needs and costs using microsimulation

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      <subfield code="a">How many people will live and die with serious illness in Ireland to 2040? Estimated needs and costs using microsimulation</subfield>
      <subfield code="c">Peter May [et al.]</subfield>
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      <subfield code="a">As populations age, more people worldwide will live and die with serious illness like cancer, heart disease and dementia. Prior projections of serious illness prevalence and end-of-life care needs have typically used static population-level methods. We estimated future disease prevalence and healthcare costs by applying dynamic microsimulation models to high-quality individual-level panel data on older adults (aged 50 + ) in Ireland. We estimated that the number of people living and dying with serious illness will increase approximately 70 % over 20 years. Per-capita annual costs both at end of life and not at end of life increase substantially due to ageing populations and growing complexity</subfield>
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      <subfield code="a">Sistema Nacional de Salud</subfield>
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      <subfield code="g">15/10/2024 Volumen 29 - 2024 , p. 8</subfield>
      <subfield code="t">The Journal of the economics of ageing </subfield>
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      <subfield code="u">https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jeoa.2024.100528</subfield>
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